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When Oracle Announced the Deal That Broke the Internet

Oracle's stock went absolutely nuts on September 10th after they announced a $300 billion cloud deal with OpenAI. That's not a typo - three hundred billion dollars. To put that in perspective, that's more than the GDP of most countries. Larry Ellison briefly became richer than Elon Musk, which should tell you everything about how seriously the market took this announcement.

Here's the thing about Oracle: they've been trying to compete with AWS and Microsoft Azure for years with mixed success. Oracle's cloud business has always been the little brother compared to Amazon and Microsoft's dominance. But AI changed everything, and suddenly Oracle's database expertise and data center infrastructure became valuable again.

The $300 billion figure spans roughly five years starting in 2027 and will deliver 4.5 gigawatts of power capacity - that's roughly equivalent to two Hoover Dams or what 4 million homes use. Still, Oracle has a history of creative accounting and optimistic projections. Remember when they claimed their cloud business would overtake AWS? That didn't age well.

But let's give credit where it's due: Oracle's stock jumped 36% because investors think this deal is real. OpenAI needs massive computing power to train their next-generation models, and Oracle apparently convinced them to sign an exclusive infrastructure agreement as part of the Stargate project. Whether that agreement is actually worth $300 billion or just Oracle's marketing department getting creative with numbers remains to be seen.

The timing makes sense though. Oracle needed a win in the AI race, and OpenAI needed infrastructure partners beyond Microsoft. This deal solves both problems while generating headlines that sent Oracle's market valuation to about $933 billion. Ellison becoming the world's richest person, even briefly, is just the cherry on top.

The real test will be whether Oracle can actually deliver on this infrastructure promise. Running AI workloads at scale is different from traditional enterprise databases. AWS and Google have been at this for years, while Oracle is still playing catch-up. A $300 billion contract is worthless if you can't fulfill it - just ask any startup that promised unicorn-level growth.

Still, Oracle's not stupid. They've been around long enough to know the difference between actual business and marketing hype. If they're betting this big on AI infrastructure, they probably have a plan that goes beyond press releases and stock pumps. Whether that plan works out is another question entirely.

How Oracle's Deal Stacks Up (If It's Real)

Deal

Value

Reality Check

Market Reaction

Oracle-OpenAI

$300 billion

Suspiciously round number

Oracle stock +40%

Microsoft-OpenAI

~$13 billion

Actually happening

Steady strategic gains

Google-Anthropic

~$2 billion

Real partnership

Modest bump

AWS-Meta

~$10 billion

Standard enterprise deal

Business as usual

The Questions Nobody's Asking But Should Be

Q

Is this $300 billion deal actually real?

A

Great question. Oracle announced a $300 billion "cloud computing deal" with OpenAI, but the details are suspiciously vague. Is this contracted revenue over 10 years? Potential revenue if everything goes perfectly? Total value including Oracle's own hardware costs? Oracle has a history of creative accounting, so take this number with a massive grain of salt.

Q

Why did Larry Ellison briefly become richer than Elon Musk?

A

Because Oracle's stock went absolutely bonkers after the announcement. Ellison owns 41% of Oracle, so when the stock jumps 40%, his net worth jumps too. He was the richest person for maybe a day before reality set in and the stock came back down to earth. Still rich as hell, just not Elon-level rich.

Q

Can Oracle actually compete with AWS and Microsoft?

A

Oracle's been trying to compete with AWS for years with limited success. They're good at databases and enterprise software, but cloud infrastructure is a different game. AWS has a 15-year head start and Microsoft has deeper pockets. Oracle's betting that AI workloads are different enough to give them a chance, but that's a big if.

Q

What happens if OpenAI decides to use someone else's infrastructure?

A

Then Oracle's $300 billion deal becomes worthless paper. OpenAI is already heavily tied to Microsoft through their partnership and Azure infrastructure. If this Oracle deal is real, it suggests OpenAI is trying to diversify their infrastructure dependencies, which is smart. But they could just as easily go back to Microsoft or switch to AWS.

Q

Is Oracle's plan to grow 8x in 5 years realistic?

A

Probably not. They want to go from $18 billion to $144 billion in cloud revenue by 2030. That's faster growth than AWS achieved during its peak growth years, and AWS didn't have to compete with established players. Oracle's projections sound like the kind of numbers you present to investors when you need them to believe in miracles.

Q

Should I buy Oracle stock based on this news?

A

Oracle's stock already jumped 40% on this announcement, so you'd be buying at post-hype prices. The AI infrastructure business is real, but Oracle's ability to execute at the scale they're promising is unproven. This could be the start of Oracle's comeback or the latest in a long line of overpromised cloud strategies.

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