Google's Convenient Courtroom Truth

This admission pisses me off more than it should. For months, Google executives have been making the rounds claiming the web is healthier than ever, AI search isn't killing website traffic, and publishers are being dramatic about their concerns. Industry reports and traffic analytics have shown otherwise, but Google kept dismissing publisher concerns at industry conferences and in official statements. Now, when it's legally convenient, they flip the script completely.

The court filing states: "The fact is that today, the open web is already in rapid decline and Plaintiffs' divestiture proposal would only accelerate that decline, harming publishers who currently rely on open-web display advertising revenue."

This is the same company whose representatives have been dismissing publisher concerns as overblown. The same company that's been pushing AI-generated search answers while claiming they're driving more traffic to websites. The same company that's been telling content creators that the web ecosystem is thriving.

The timing is fucking convenient. Google faces a DOJ antitrust case that could force them to break up their advertising business - a business worth tens of billions annually. Suddenly, they're concerned about harming publishers and the health of the open web. Where was this concern when they were rolling out AI Overview summaries that answer questions without requiring users to visit source websites, or when implementing Search Generative Experience that keeps users on Google properties?

What makes this particularly galling is that Google has been a primary driver of the open web's decline while simultaneously denying it's happening. Their search algorithm changes have devastated countless websites through Helpful Content Updates, Product Reviews Updates, and core algorithm changes. Their AI features increasingly keep users on Google.com rather than sending them to publisher sites. Their advertising policies and revenue sharing changes have squeezed publisher revenues.

The court filing admits to "incredibly dynamic" (their words) changes in ad tech, with "non-open web display ad formats like Connected TV and retail media exploding in popularity." This is corporate speak for "we're moving money away from traditional websites toward closed platforms we have more control over."

Google's argument essentially boils down to: "The open web is dying (partially because of our actions), so you shouldn't force us to change our business practices because that might accelerate the death we're already causing." It's like an arsonist arguing they should keep their matches because taking them away might make the fire spread faster.

This admission validates what every SEO professional and publisher has been screaming about since the August 2023 Core Update decimated organic traffic. I've watched sites that survived Panda, Penguin, and every other algorithm massacre finally give up after AI Overview started stealing their featured snippet traffic. Google systematically destroyed the open web's economic foundation while pretending they were helping it flourish.

Web Traffic Distribution Analysis: Traditional open web traffic has declined significantly as users increasingly consume content through AI-powered search results, platform-specific feeds, and closed ecosystem applications.

The Numbers Don't Lie About Web Traffic Decline

Digital Platform Market Consolidation: The shift from open web display advertising (40% in 2019 to 11% in 2025) demonstrates the rapid consolidation of digital attention toward platform-controlled environments.

Google's court filing isn't just corporate doublespeak - it's backed by Google's own fucking data showing how drastically the web landscape has changed. The filing references how open web display advertising has declined from 40% to 11% of Google's display advertising impressions between 2019 and 2025.

That's not a gradual shift - that's a fucking cliff. In six years, traditional web advertising lost nearly three-quarters of its share of Google's ad business. Meanwhile, "closed ecosystems" like Connected TV and retail media platforms have exploded.

What this means for website owners:

Publishers who built their businesses around Google organic traffic are getting squeezed from multiple directions. AI Overview summaries answer user questions without requiring clicks. Featured snippets provide information directly in search results. Google's algorithm changes increasingly favor large platforms over independent websites, following E-E-A-T guidelines that benefit established brands.

The economic impact is devastating. Websites that used to generate revenue through display advertising are seeing both traffic and ad rates decline simultaneously. Google's own data shows they're moving ad spend toward closed platforms like YouTube, Google Shopping, and Connected TV where they have more control over the user experience and can charge higher CPM rates.

The AI factor is undeniable:

Google's public statements about AI not hurting web traffic look absurd in light of this court filing. When Google provides AI-generated answers directly in search results, users don't need to visit the source websites. This is basic user behavior - people follow the path of least resistance.

The company's AI search features are designed to keep users within Google's ecosystem longer. Every question answered directly in search results is a click that doesn't go to a publisher website. Every AI-generated summary is content that gets consumed without generating ad revenue for the original creator.

Platform consolidation accelerating:

The filing mentions competitors "directing their investments to new growth areas" - translation: money is moving toward closed platforms like TikTok advertising, YouTube advertising, Instagram advertising, and Amazon DSP where user behavior is more predictable and ad targeting is more precise. Walled garden platforms control the entire user experience from content discovery to purchase decisions.

This shift represents a fundamental change in how the internet works. Instead of a decentralized web where anyone could build a successful website through SEO best practices and content marketing, we're moving toward a handful of major platforms that control most online activity through algorithmic feeds and platform-specific optimization.

Google's admission in court should be a wake-up call for anyone who still believes the traditional open web model is sustainable. The numbers show it's not, and the company driving the most web traffic just admitted as much when it suited their legal strategy.

Google Open Web Decline FAQ

Q

What exactly did Google admit in court?

A

Google stated in a DOJ antitrust filing that "the open web is already in rapid decline"

  • contradicting months of public statements claiming the web is thriving and AI isn't hurting website traffic.
Q

Why is Google saying this now when they've claimed the opposite publicly?

A

Google is getting sued by the DOJ who want to break up their ad monopoly. By claiming the open web is already dying, Google argues that forced breakup would accelerate the decline and harm publishers.

Q

What evidence supports the "rapid decline" claim?

A

Google's own internal data shows open web display advertising collapsed from 40% to 11% of their display ad impressions between 2019-2025. That's a fucking 75% decline in just six years. I've seen this firsthand

  • sites that got 500K monthly Google visitors in 2019 are getting maybe 50K now.
Q

How does this relate to AI search features?

A

AI Overview summaries and featured snippets answer user questions directly in search results, reducing clicks to publisher websites. This keeps users on Google.com instead of driving traffic to content creators.

Q

What does this mean for website owners and publishers?

A

Publishers face declining traffic from Google search combined with reduced ad revenue. The economic model that supported independent websites is being systematically undermined.

Q

Are there alternatives to Google-dependent web publishing?

A

Publishers are desperately scrambling to direct subscriptions, email newsletters, TikTok, LinkedIn, whatever. I know content creators who've completely given up on SEO and gone all-in on Instagram because at least Instagram doesn't pretend to support the open web while simultaneously killing it. But none of these replace the scale Google search used to provide before they decided answering questions was more important than sending traffic.

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