The Predictable Tech CEO Flip-Flop Cycle

The Predictable Tech CEO Flip-Flop Cycle

Tech CEOs have no actual political principles

  • just business interests.

They'll cozy up to any administration that promises to leave their monopolies alone.

Here's the pattern every election cycle:

  1. Opposition phase: "We're concerned about [candidate's] policies for innovation"

  2. Election happens:

Candidate wins

  1. Pivot phase: "We look forward to working with the new administration"

  2. Kissing ass phase: "The President's policies are great for American tech leadership"

The Real Motivation:

Avoiding Antitrust Hell

Big Tech Market Dominance Analysis

Big Tech CEOs don't give a shit about politics. They care about avoiding getting broken up by the DOJ. Every photo op and policy endorsement is about one thing: "Please don't regulate us into the ground."

Apple wants to avoid import tariffs on Chinese manufacturing. Meta wants to keep Section 230 protections intact. Google wants to avoid more antitrust lawsuits. Amazon wants to keep their logistics monopoly.

Politicians change, but corporate ass-kissing remains constant.

The Elon Musk Elephant in the Room

The most interesting person at the dinner wasn't even there. Elon Musk's absence speaks volumes about the current state of Trump's tech relationships. Musk was "invited but couldn't attend," sending a representative instead. Translation: the bromance is over.

Musk supported Trump in 2024, spent $44 billion on Twitter partly to help Trump's return, and got frozen out anyway. Trump's team sees Musk as too unpredictable, too attention-seeking, and frankly, too competitive with Trump's own ego. You can't have two main characters in the same room.

The fallout came after Musk criticized Trump's AI policies and pushed for his own government efficiency commission. Trump doesn't want advisors - he wants cheerleaders. Musk's Texas-sized ego couldn't handle playing second fiddle, so now he's persona non grata at White House tech dinners.

This creates an interesting dynamic for the other CEOs. They watched Trump exile the world's richest man for showing insufficient deference. That's a lesson in power that Zuckerberg, Cook, and Altman absorbed perfectly.

The dinner also highlighted Trump's AI strategy: make Big Tech compete for government favor while positioning America against China. He threatened new sanctions against countries regulating US tech companies (looking at you, EU) while demanding domestic AI investment commitments.

Each CEO promised billions in US infrastructure spending. It's the classic Trump playbook - extract economic concessions through a combination of carrots (government contracts) and sticks (regulatory threats). The tech leaders played along because the alternative is regulatory warfare.

But here's what's really happening: Trump is consolidating control over the tech industry that increasingly controls information flow, economic infrastructure, and public opinion. This isn't just about AI development - it's about power.

Trump Tech Dinner FAQ

Q

Why did all these CEOs suddenly become Trump supporters?

A

They didn't become supporters

  • they became survivors. Trump has the power to destroy tech companies through antitrust enforcement, regulatory changes, and government contract decisions. These CEOs watched Amazon's stock tank after Trump criticized Bezos. They learned that opposition to Trump is expensive.
Q

What's the deal with Elon Musk being excluded?

A

Musk and Trump had a spectacular falling out after Musk criticized Trump's AI policies and demanded his own role in government efficiency. Trump doesn't tolerate competition for attention or independent thinking from allies. Musk's invitation was probably fake

  • designed to let him publicly decline rather than be openly snubbed.
Q

Are these investment promises actually real?

A

Partially. The CEOs probably were planning US investments anyway, but now they're packaging them as tributes to Trump. It's smart politics

  • take credit for spending you were going to do anyway while making Trump look effective. Everyone wins except American consumers who'll pay for this through higher prices.
Q

How does this compare to Biden's relationship with Big Tech?

A

Biden's team regulated tech companies but maintained professional relationships. Trump makes it personal

  • you're either loyal or you're an enemy. The difference is Biden fought specific policies while Trump fights people. That's why these CEOs are kissing ass instead of just hiring lobbyists.
Q

What about the AI competition with China?

A

Trump is using China as leverage to extract concessions from US tech companies. "Invest domestically or risk losing to China" is effective messaging that lets him pose as both pro-business and tough on national security. The CEOs go along because it justifies their compliance with his demands.

Q

Will this dinner actually change tech policy?

A

Probably not. These dinners are theater designed to show Trump's dominance over powerful people. The real policy happens in meetings with lower-level officials who implement the actual regulations. But the symbolism matters

  • it shows other industries what submission to Trump looks like.

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