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Another TikTok Extension Because Nobody Knows What the Fuck They're Doing

Trump punted again. Third or fourth time now - honestly lost count. This time they're calling it a "framework agreement" which is government speak for "we still don't have a real solution."

The Math is Bullshit

80% American ownership, 19.9% Chinese. Notice that 0.1%? They literally argued over one-tenth of a percent to stay under some regulatory threshold. Lawyers probably spent more on that negotiation than most people make in a year.

Here's the stupid part: TikTok "owns" the app but ByteDance still owns the algorithm. So China controls how your feed works but America owns... what exactly? The logo?

I've debugged enough distributed systems to know this is impossible. You can't split an algorithm from its data processing. That's like saying you own a car but someone else controls the engine. The algorithm IS the data collection - they're the same fucking thing.

TikTok Data Flow

Congress Will Kill This

House China Committee wanted ByteDance gone completely. Instead they're getting ByteDance with 19.9% ownership and algorithm control. That's not a compromise, that's just ByteDance with extra paperwork.

CFIUS has to somehow audit data flows when the Chinese company still owns the core tech. Previous TikTok deals died because nobody could verify where data was going. This deal makes that harder, not easier.

The Money is Fake

TikTok claims $16 billion in US ads, which sounds big until you realize Facebook probably makes that in what, two months? Maybe less? The "buyers" are mostly people who already own ByteDance stock, so they're basically buying from themselves.

ByteDance claims to be worth $400 billion. Sure, and WeWork was worth $47 billion until it wasn't. These valuations are made up.

Every TikTok deal has collapsed within six months. This one probably will too.

Trump's Playing Both Sides

US China Tech Relations

Trump can't ban TikTok without pissing off every voter under 30. So he's doing this theater where he looks tough on China but keeps the app running.

The last-minute timing isn't strategy - it's what happens when nobody has a solution that actually works.

What Changes (Nothing)

Users won't notice anything immediately. Your videos are still there, algorithm still works.

But TikTok America has to build new data infrastructure in the US, which means the recommendation engine will probably get worse. I've done this migration shit before - you can't just copy ML models to new infrastructure. The data pipelines break, performance tanks, and your feed starts sucking.

New recommendation engines need months of training data before they stop serving random garbage. Remember when Instagram fucked with their algorithm and everyone's engagement died? That's coming.

The real lesson isn't about data protection - it's that threatening to ban something 170 million Americans use is political suicide. So you get theater instead.

What Actually Changed (Spoiler: Not Much)

Before

After

Reality Check

ByteDance owns TikTok

Americans "own" 80%, ByteDance gets 19.9%

ByteDance keeps the good stuff (the algorithm), America gets the paperwork

Data stored wherever

Must use US servers

Same Chinese engineers will just VPN in to "US" servers

Congress wanted to ban it

Congress still wants to ban it

They're just angrier now because this solves nothing

TikTok Deal: What Engineers Actually Want to Know

Q

Will my account break during this clusterfuck?

A

Probably not immediately, but yeah, expect shit to break. Account migrations always have edge cases. Some of your saved videos might disappear, follower counts could glitch, and your settings will probably reset at least twice. Back up anything important now.

Q

Is TikTok actually "American-owned" now?

A

It's complicated as hell. Americans own 80%, China owns 19.9%

  • that 0.1% difference is pure legal theater to avoid more regulations. But Byte

Dance still controls the algorithm, which is like saying you own a car but someone else keeps the engine and decides where you can drive.

Q

Will my For You Page start sucking?

A

Eventually, yes. They're "leasing" the algorithm instead of owning it, which is tech industry speak for "we have no fucking idea how to rebuild this thing." When they inevitably try to create their own recommendation engine, your feed will turn into the garbage YouTube serves when their algorithm breaks.

Q

Can Congress still kill this deal?

A

Absolutely. This is just a framework

  • basically a fancy word for "we'll figure it out later." Congress can pass new laws, CFIUS can reject the whole thing, or regulators can decide the data flows still look sketchy. Don't bet your business on this lasting.
Q

Is my data actually safer now?

A

Define "safer." Your data sits on US servers now, but the algorithm that processes it is still Chinese-controlled. It's like moving your diary to a safe but giving your ex the combination. Data flows are data flows

  • geography doesn't magically make them secure.
Q

Will content moderation get worse?

A

Oh, absolutely. Instead of one consistent moderation system, you'll get a Frankenstein hybrid of US censorship rules and Chinese algorithm training data. Prepare for random content takedowns that make no sense and appeal processes that take forever.

Q

How fucked are content creators?

A

Pretty fucked. The revenue sharing between TikTok America and ByteDance is going to eat into creator payments. Plus, when they rebuild the algorithm, view counts will crater for months while the system learns what people actually want to watch.

Q

Is this deal actually permanent?

A

Are you kidding? This is the fourth "final" TikTok deal in two years. Congress hates it, China hates it, and the ownership structure is held together with legal duct tape. Give it six months before the next crisis.

Q

Why didn't ByteDance just sell the whole thing?

A

Because the algorithm IS Byte

Dance. Without TikTok's recommendation engine, they're just another social media company burning investor money. Selling it completely would be like Coca-Cola selling their recipe

  • business suicide.
Q

What happens to TikTok in other countries?

A

Nothing changes, which is hilarious. So Americans get this weird hybrid version while everyone else keeps using the "dangerous" Chinese-controlled app. Makes you wonder how serious the security concerns actually were.

Q

How long until regulators kill this deal?

A

CFIUS review takes 3-6 months if they're being nice. Add congressional hearings, national security reviews, and the inevitable lawsuits, and you're looking at a year minimum. Assuming it survives that long, which it probably won't.

Q

What are the odds this completely falls apart?

A

High. Previous TikTok deals have a 100% failure rate. This one has more moving parts, more regulatory hurdles, and more people who hate it. I'd bet money this doesn't make it to 2026.

Q

Should I keep using TikTok or find alternatives?

A

Use it while it works, but don't build your business around it. If you're a creator, diversify to YouTube, Instagram, whatever. Don't bet your livelihood on this regulatory house of cards staying upright.

Q

Will the app actually get better or worse?

A

Worse, definitely. When they try to rebuild the recommendation system without full access to ByteDance's training data, the algorithm will turn to shit. Remember when Instagram tried to copy TikTok's algorithm? Same energy, worse execution.

Q

Is this just political theater?

A

Mostly, yeah. Trump needed to look tough on China without actually banning the app that 170 million Americans use daily. So we get this elaborate compromise that satisfies nobody and probably won't work long-term. Classic Washington problem-solving.

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