Trump punted again. Third or fourth time now - honestly lost count. This time they're calling it a "framework agreement" which is government speak for "we still don't have a real solution."
The Math is Bullshit
80% American ownership, 19.9% Chinese. Notice that 0.1%? They literally argued over one-tenth of a percent to stay under some regulatory threshold. Lawyers probably spent more on that negotiation than most people make in a year.
Here's the stupid part: TikTok "owns" the app but ByteDance still owns the algorithm. So China controls how your feed works but America owns... what exactly? The logo?
I've debugged enough distributed systems to know this is impossible. You can't split an algorithm from its data processing. That's like saying you own a car but someone else controls the engine. The algorithm IS the data collection - they're the same fucking thing.
Congress Will Kill This
House China Committee wanted ByteDance gone completely. Instead they're getting ByteDance with 19.9% ownership and algorithm control. That's not a compromise, that's just ByteDance with extra paperwork.
CFIUS has to somehow audit data flows when the Chinese company still owns the core tech. Previous TikTok deals died because nobody could verify where data was going. This deal makes that harder, not easier.
The Money is Fake
TikTok claims $16 billion in US ads, which sounds big until you realize Facebook probably makes that in what, two months? Maybe less? The "buyers" are mostly people who already own ByteDance stock, so they're basically buying from themselves.
ByteDance claims to be worth $400 billion. Sure, and WeWork was worth $47 billion until it wasn't. These valuations are made up.
Every TikTok deal has collapsed within six months. This one probably will too.
Trump's Playing Both Sides
Trump can't ban TikTok without pissing off every voter under 30. So he's doing this theater where he looks tough on China but keeps the app running.
The last-minute timing isn't strategy - it's what happens when nobody has a solution that actually works.
What Changes (Nothing)
Users won't notice anything immediately. Your videos are still there, algorithm still works.
But TikTok America has to build new data infrastructure in the US, which means the recommendation engine will probably get worse. I've done this migration shit before - you can't just copy ML models to new infrastructure. The data pipelines break, performance tanks, and your feed starts sucking.
New recommendation engines need months of training data before they stop serving random garbage. Remember when Instagram fucked with their algorithm and everyone's engagement died? That's coming.
The real lesson isn't about data protection - it's that threatening to ban something 170 million Americans use is political suicide. So you get theater instead.